China's Taiwan Reunification Campaign and India

Sasakawa Peace Foundation and ORF

Major wars rarely terminate strategic competition but they reorder it. War- after large-scale conflicts often shift their focus to secondary theatres, irrespective of victory or defeat. Such a shift aims to re-establish or enhance credible deterrence or manage domestic legitimacy. For instance, after eight years of the Iraq-Iran war, Saddam Hussein redirected his efforts to a secondary theatre by invading Kuwait on 2 August 1990.

India’s strategic community and policymakers have yet to acknowledge the pressing reality that a prospective Chinese forceful reunification attempt with Taiwan would pose a direct and enormous threat to India’s sovereignty and security.4 The country’s security and strategic studies scholarship, its policymaking apparatus, and Sinologists are far from internalising this debate, outlining preventive measures, and preparing for the consequences of such a fallout.

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