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4th Taiwan Strait Crisis, India-China Border, PLA Modernisation, Theory of Strategic Substitution


I. The 4th Taiwan Strait Crisis?


So much has happened in and around Taiwan in the past 45 days that there is no other place to start this newsletter. I am sure everyone has read a lot about Taiwan, so I will try to keep it brief. But before we start, let me also take this opportunity to share my 2 cents – my explainer for the Indian Express on the ongoing crisis.


Nancy Pelosi, the Speaker of the US House of Representatives, travelled to Taiwan on August 2-3. She became the highest-ranking American official to set foot in Taiwan in a quarter century, prompting furious reactions from China. The People’s Republic of China (PRC) responded with coercive military, economic, diplomatic and information warfare measures. There is still a debate whether to term the recent events as the 4th Taiwan Strait Crisis, as the situation in the Strait was dire and could have easily resulted in an unintended escalation. This section is divided into three parts:

  • A brief timeline: Events and Chinese military response, major takeaways and restrain

  • How has the world reacted to Chinese aggression?

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